Free sport predictions

England — Congo 3:0

On one hand, these are the kind of matches where 95% of bets go one way. What the hell is Congo or Paraguay supposed to do here — usually it ends 3:0, 4:0, a total demolition. On the other hand, it’s the World Cup, a place where miracles sometimes happen.

Congo have actually done well: a draw with Portugal, a narrow 0:1 loss to Colombia, and a win over Uzbekistan. I think they’re already satisfied with their tournament. By the way, this country used to be called Zaire:

Free State of the Congo (1885–1908)
Belgian Congo (1908–1960)
Republic of the Congo (Léopoldville) (1960–1964)
Democratic Republic of the Congo (1964–1971)
Republic of Zaire (1971–1997)
Democratic Republic of the Congo (since 1997)



Imagine England playing Zaire back in the 90s — that could easily have been 9:0. Today, Congo are no longer a weak team.

Football in general feels unpredictable: sometimes 0:0, sometimes 5:0. But our job is to analyze the game. England clearly have a total advantage. Portugal, in their match against Congo, sometimes didn’t take things seriously, while England rarely allow that.

My predictions:

Over 2 goals — 1.52
England over 1.5 goals — 1.54
England win + over 1.5 goals — 1.66
Jude Bellingham (shots on target) over 0.5 — 1.47
England shots on target over 15.5 — 1.67

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Belgium — Senegal 2:2 / 2:1

Belgium look strange: it feels like something isn’t working. Draws with Iran and Egypt, only one goal scored. Then a 5:1 win over New Zealand, but still no real consistency. On paper they have a strong squad, but it feels like they wasted a whole generation of talent.

Senegal are African champions, and it would be interesting to see them go further, maybe even face Morocco again after that controversial Africa Cup final.

There is some tension around Senegal after that final incident, and it’s unclear how much that affects refereeing or the overall atmosphere. But in terms of football, they are definitely not weaker than Egypt or Iran, and their attack looks more dynamic.

My predictions:

Over 2 goals — 1.54
1X + over 1.5 goals — 1.72
Belgium corners over 4 — 1.47
Belgium shots on target over 3.5 — 1.45
Offsides over 2.5 — 1.53

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USA — Bosnia 2:0

I strongly disagree with the odds here. 1.38 on the USA is not attractive at all. Yes, they are in good form at home, but Bosnia had a solid European qualifying campaign and even beat Italy, which makes you think twice.

Before seeing the odds, I expected a 2:0, but the pricing makes this match less appealing.

The only idea is that if the USA start dominating, they could easily control the game, but there’s still a risk of a strange scenario.

My predictions:

USA over 1.5 goals — 1.54
Total yellow cards over 2.5 — 1.65
Bosnia yellow cards over 1.5 — 1.85
USA offsides over 1.5 — 1.45
USA shots on target over 12.5 — 1.46

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Tennis predictions from a neural network

Heide — Barrena — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Hopp — Iannaccone — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)
Ruehl / Veldheer — Marrero / Perez — pick 1, 2:1 (6:4, 4:6, 10:7)
Sueoka / Tajima — Nagoudi / Paganetti — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Fuchs / Thayne — Genov / Wehnelt — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 7:10)
Kovackova — Alves — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Krueger — Podhajecka — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
Kulambayeva — Di Girolami — pick 1, 2:0 (6:2, 6:4)
Chazal — Montes-De La Torre — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 3:6, 4:6)
Beaven — Salton — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Coats — McGloughlin — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Virgili Berini — Alhogbani — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Tortora — Schifris — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
Gloeckler — Braynin — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 2:6)
Drugdova — Bulatova — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 3:6, 4:6)
Habib — Frusina — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Bacaloni — Makke — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Baroni — Jeran — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
Kaynak — Farzami — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)
Duda / Latinovic — Betov / Simakin — pick 1, 2:1 (6:3, 4:6, 10:7)
Bertea — Riera — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 2:6)
Fita Boluda — Sobolieva — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Capurro Taborda — Rus — pick 2, 0:2 (2:6, 4:6)
Smith — Squire — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 4:6, 3:6)
Cordoba — Miletich — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Bredberg Canizares — Yuldasheva — pick 1, 2:0 (6:2, 6:4)
Ozeki — Van Zyl — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Crocker — Cirotte — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)
Staeheli — Marcondes — pick 2, 1:2 (6:3, 4:6, 4:6)
Nikles — Rottoli — pick 1, 2:1 (6:3, 4:6, 6:4)
Sheyngezikht — Turriziani Alvarez — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 2:6)
Recek — Shah — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Bastiaansen — Gerch — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
De Marchi — Plans — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Vales — Mruzek — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
Kruger / Scott — Shimanov / Velcz — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 4:6, 8:10)
Vargova — Herea — pick 1, 2:0 (6:2, 6:4)
Pawelska — Smekalova — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Fucsovics — Tien — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 4:6, 4:6)
Hurkacz — Ofner — pick 1, 3:1 (6:4, 3:6, 6:3, 6:4)
Salvestre — Durasovic — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Dalmasso — Lapalu — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
Pereira — Moroni — pick 1, 2:1 (6:3, 4:6, 6:4)
Dominko — Alkaya — pick 2, 0:2 (2:6, 4:6)
Bennour Dit Sahli — Singh — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)
Melo / Molteni — Krajicek / Mektic — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 8:10)
Ostapenko — Ruzic — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:2)
Khramtsova — Kurt — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Koprivova — Vasileva — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 3:6, 4:6)
Prasanth / Ramanathan — Haita / Turcanu — pick 1, 2:1 (6:4, 4:6, 10:7)
Borisov — Markovski — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 2:6)
Chokka / Garbero — Hasson / Salton — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Mehrotra / Vujic — Badenhors / Koenig — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 8:10)
Granwehr — Gennaro — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Marisko — Planinsek — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)
Kruytkh — Siniakov — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Nau — Kirkin — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 4:6)
Hermans / Marcondes — Becroft / Delaney — pick 1, 2:1 (6:4, 4:6, 10:7)
Pace — Vessio — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Kauk — Møller — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)
Vrancken Peeters — Zanolini — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
Tran — Popa — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Planella Hernandez — Bosio — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 4:6, 3:6)
Pankin — Misasi — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Hribar — Waldner — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 2:6)
Boros — Baum — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Claeys — Bertoldo — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Bienzobas Fernandez — Ghirardato — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 3:6, 4:6)
Mejia — Zheng — pick 2, 1:3 (4:6, 6:3, 3:6, 4:6)
Te — Schoen — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Liu — Torres — pick 2, 0:2 (2:6, 4:6)
Alys / Herbert — Kiger / Trhac — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Hidalgo / Vocel — Cabral / Miedler — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 8:10)
Sonmez — Liu — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Drzewiecki / Majchrzak — Romboli / Smith — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 8:10)
Nikcevic / Vaja — Imbo Nlog / Stosovic — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
Trifi — Bertimon — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Davidovich Fokina — Marozsan — pick 1, 3:1 (6:4, 3:6, 6:3, 6:4)
Dev / Sinha — Cornea / Cukierman — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 8:10)
Siniakova — Bartunkova — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:2)
Paquet — Stusek — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Gueymard / Kasnikowski — Castelnuovo / Santillan — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 8:10)
Tazabekov — Kovac — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Kotzen — Mastri — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Brancacci / Passaro — Kravchenko / Sanchez — pick 1, 2:1 (6:4, 4:6, 10:8)
Samir — Vismane — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)
Faustini / Fiorani — Kaztugan / Kim — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 7:10)
Poertner — Penzlin — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Visser — Zick — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 2:6)
Derepasko — Wieland — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
Mikovic — Verdese — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 3:6, 4:6)
Arzhankin — Pisaric — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Colombo / Sahtali — Bacaloni / Knani — pick 1, 2:1 (6:4, 4:6, 10:8)
Izquierdo Luque — Fernandes — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Leote Prata — Echeverria — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)
Pavlasek / Rikl — Giron / Tabilo — pick 1, 2:1 (6:4, 4:6, 10:7)
Hernandez — Ymer — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Oliver Sanchez — Coromina Boluda — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
Menendez Zozaya — Tse — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Mochizuki — Quinn — pick 2, 1:3 (6:4, 3:6, 4:6, 2:6)
Arevalo / Pavic — Bublik / Kyrgios — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:4)
Steiner — Carle — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 2:6)
Nakashima — Struff — pick 1, 3:1 (6:4, 4:6, 6:3, 6:4)
Jarvis / Vance — Bove / Zanada — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Parry — Kalinskaya — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 3:6, 4:6)
Comesana — Dedura-Palomero — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Yunis — Toffanin — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Amarandei — Borrelli — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
Krstic — Larwig — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Berard / Faure — Larue / Pietri — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 8:10)
Krejcikova — Andreeva — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 3:6, 4:6)
Hodar — Carreno-Busta — pick 1, 3:2 (6:4, 3:6, 6:3, 4:6, 6:4)
Reynolds / Watt — Ayeni / Cook — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Harper / Hilderbra — Fenty / Poling — pick 1, 2:1 (6:4, 4:6, 10:8)
Shimizu / Watanabe — Nam / Niklas-Salminen — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 8:10)
Bayldon / Ellis — Lammons / Withrow — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)
Echazu / Osorio — Alvarez / Hernandez — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 8:10)
Monzon / Tenti — Aboian / Fernandez — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)
La Serna / Ribeiro — Bertran / Mbithi — pick 1, 2:1 (6:4, 4:6, 10:7)
Andrade / Meligeni — Oliveira / Pucinelli — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Casanova — Alvarez Valdes — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Kim — Chang — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
Maria — Jovic — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 3:6, 4:6)
Bencic — Wang — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Jadoun — Pouatcha — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Car — Added — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Mikovic — Castagnola — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 4:6, 3:6)
Gimbrere / Sakellari — Alhussein / Zoppas — pick 1, 2:1 (6:4, 4:6, 10:8)
Taye — Andre — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)
Luo — Nordquist — pick 2, 0:2 (2:6, 4:6)
Sin / Sumizawa — Mochizuki / Nakamura — pick 1, 2:1 (6:4, 4:6, 10:8)
De Lange — Aubriot — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Gaztambide Arrastia — Garcia — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Jorge — John-Baptiste — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Khomutsianskaya — Klimovicova — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 2:6)
Kivattsev — Sels — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 3:6, 4:6)
Dutra da Silva — Hipfl — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Yilmaz — Strode — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
Opitz — Strombachs — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)
Schneider — Lanik — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Hijikata / Polmans — Schnaitter / Wallner — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Navone — Cobolli — pick 2, 1:3 (4:6, 6:3, 3:6, 4:6)
Tiafoe — Atmane — pick 1, 3:0 (6:4, 6:3, 6:4)
Rejchtman Vinciguerra — Paardekooper — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 4:6)
Broady — Kennedy — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Stephens — Lemire — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Gimbrere — Martinez Cirez — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 3:6, 4:6)
Noguchi — Martinez — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
Glinka — Winter — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Jorge — Micic — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Naito — Stefanini — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Bladelius — Bruna — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Baumgartner — Comino — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 4:6)
Craig — You — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Kuharenko — Teixido Garcia — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)
Missoum — Ferrari — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 3:6, 4:6)
Kuwata / Raina — Brace / Ma — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Varillas — Magadan — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Conte — Janev — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
Naharro — Tsitsipas — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Craciun — Wysoczanska — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Ivanov — Mandelikova — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Kaztugan — Tourkhani — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 2:6)
Sari — Yilmaz — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Gay — Natal Gomez — pick 1, 2:0 (6:2, 6:4)
Sieg — Bartashevich — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Hammes — Majdandzic — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 3:6, 4:6)
Cakarevic — Pedone — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Slavikova — Auer — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
Sedlackova — Bulgaru — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)
Gorgodze — Meyer auf der Heide — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Taraba Wallberg — Colmegna — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Jankanj — Hamza Reguig — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Kravitz / Puetz — Escobar / Stalder — pick 1, 2:1 (6:4, 4:6, 10:8)
Manning — Mmoh — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)
Collins — Tian — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Johnson — Rogers — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Gonzalez / Gonzalez — Kokkinakis / Kovacevic — pick 1, 2:1 (6:4, 4:6, 10:8)
Pigato — Kovinic — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:2)
Hoedt / Weckerle — Kovackova / Vargova — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 8:10)
Lyutova — Rapolu — pick 1, 2:0 (6:3, 6:4)
Ali / Fita Juan — Bretin / Dando — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 8:10)
Payne / Shumate — Arseneaul / Lacasse — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 7:10)
Akli / Reasco Gonzalez — Thombare / Yamalapalli — pick 1, 2:1 (6:4, 4:6, 10:8)
Ma / Yamaguchi — Harrison / Hewitt — pick 2, 1:2 (4:6, 6:3, 8:10)
Hashimoto — Almeida — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 3:6)
De Alba Valdes — Kadiri Hassani — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)
Lopez — Montiel — pick 1, 2:0 (6:4, 6:3)
Kay — Ewing — pick 2, 0:2 (4:6, 2:6)
Allegre — Xu — pick 2, 1:2 (6:4, 3:6, 4:6)
Hui — Ahn — pick 2, 0:2 (3:6, 4:6)

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